Ultimate Texas Holdem Wizard Of Odds

Ultimate Texas Holdem Wizard Of Odds 7,6/10 8438 votes
Paigowdan
There was an earlier thread I posted on here, on finding - searching, actually, - for the most 'elegant and easy' strategy for Playing UTH, Ultimate texas Hold 'em. (That thread is here.)

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Ultimate Texas Holdem Wizard Of OddsSo many players play UTH quite poorly, - so very poorly - (and everyone here agrees...) - but UTH strategy shouldn't be hard to do.
So far, NO one here at this place could come up with a one-sentence, one-line Holy Grail of 4x UTH strategy, in a nutshell. No one, - not even CRM or Mike.
So...I HAD to bounce THIS one off of 'old school casino bastard' Frank Rajek himself. And he gave me a concise, terse, and VERY accurate strategy for the game, something akin to Mike Shackleford's 'Wizard's simple Strategyfor Blackjack.' I had to post this, because Frank showed up old' Danny Boy on this one - I had missed it!!!!
I was telling Frank recently over dinner at Sergio's Italian Restaurant that my wife plays the sh]t out of Three Card Poker every time we go the Orleans - but SHE CANNOT seem to get the BASIC 4x play move in UTH!
Frank said UTH raising is the same thing as three card poker, and that is actually it:
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If you would PLAY a three card Poker hand with Q-6 or better, then you would also Raise it 4x on UTH with the same hand! Just do it, it's perfect.
Takes balls, though, but you gotta do it, as the 4x raise is where it is at. He argued that Q-6 is almost the same as Q-8, - and lowering to Q-6 accounts for dropping the J-10 4x bet anyway, and is essentially the same, statiscally. Different games, but same 'accurately ballpark' strategy.' I disagree with that fine-tuning logic, but as a simple strategy, it seems very accurate.
I love it: my old school friend/pit boss Frank Rajek giving ME the Strategy for Ultimate Texas Hold 'em: Raise 4x with a Q-6, - just as you would in three card poker, else check. Fucking Simple, and SO close to all 4x strategies on this game - just nuts!!! I am pissed at myself - and CRM - for not seeing this nutshell!At the VERY least, it is one hell of an easy strategy point.
Maybe you do learn something in the pit!!
Q-6, chunk 4x, else check - just like Three Card. That is it. How the f*ck didn't I see this??!! This is 90% of the player's side of the game.
Beware of all enterprises that require new clothes - Henry David Thoreau. Like Dealers' uniforms - Dan.
Ibeatyouraces
deleted
Mosca

Maybe easy enough for the people on here but 99.9% of all the other UTH players wont play this way. Most players have no poker sense what so ever. Hell, they won't even raise with a big ace let alone Q,6. For these people aren't trying to beat the dealer. They think they need to make a good hand to win. They simply want to win the trips bet because, 'thats where the money is.'


Most players think like they're playing against the table, not the dealer. Once you get comfortable with the understanding that you only have to beat one guy, it gets easy to follow the correct strategy. From there, the biggest problem is bankroll management: bring enough money to weather the strings of x-x and the bad beats!
NO KILL I
Ibeatyouraces
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Paigowdan

Most players think like they're playing against the table, not the dealer. Once you get comfortable with the understanding that you only have to beat one guy, it gets easy to follow the correct strategy. From there, the biggest problem is bankroll management: bring enough money to weather the strings of x-x and the bad beats!


I think Bad beats are key in making the Average Joe mistrust the strategy. My wife had an A-9, chunked 4x (while giving me this 'you better know what you're doing' eye), paired the ace on the flop, - and then lost to a straight. I checked, and lucked out with the same straight. But Her reaction? 'You see, the strategy is WRONG - I lost! And There's the PROOF! You gotta go with your gut!'
yikes....
Beware of all enterprises that require new clothes - Henry David Thoreau. Like Dealers' uniforms - Dan.
Ultimate Texas Holdem Wizard Of Odds
98Clubs
One of the other ideas floating around my neck of the woods is to play like you were playing heads-up against a 'calling-station' type poker Adversary.
By concept, this IS UTH.
4x Raise any two cards 10-10 or better (TJ, TQ, TK, TA, JJ, JQ, .... AA suited or not), Pairs 66 to 99, and Any Suited Ace or King.
Call with A6o to A9o, K2o to K9o, Q2o to Q9o, and all others.
2x Raise 2nd or top pair 66 or better*, open-ended 4-str.-fl., 4-Flush Ace or King, high open-ended straight 89TJ or better.
edited: include an open-ended or inside str. or str-fl if paired. Forgot this one.
*-- Must have A or K visible, otherwise 8's or better.
Call others. In general 2-Pair or better is a decided winner/raise.
1x Raise any hand TT or better OR 2nd high pair or better*.
FOLD any hand ranked 1 pair or less such that: pair 55 or less, 66 or 77 has OPTION raise if Ace visible and 1 pocket card plays.
One pair hands need help from kickers: 2-4 + 10-7-K-10-3 board is a fold... note board pair with bad kicker as opposed to 10-4 + 10-7-K-9-3 as a pocket 2nd high pair with a King visible. I find this point raised very important in the game. Pocket cards DO influence the decision,
Player's Choice 88 or 99... generally an Ace or King visible is a 1x Rasie.
This may not be complete enough, and I've been practicing this WoO UTH. +1% BR ($50 betting $2+$2, no side-bet) seems quite doable. Sure there are some -1% BR swings, Poker Happens.
Had to edit this at least once... playing human-automatic, I saw errors here. And, the 4x is based upon multi-handed TH.
If I were to simplify the 2x rule, 2-pairs or better, High pair 88 or better, or second high pair with A or K being 66 or better.
I seem to have trouble with board pair 77 or less on flop holding a Queen high pocket.
AxiomOfChoice


If you would PLAY a three card Poker hand with Q-6 or better, then you would also Raise it 4x on UTH with the same hand! Just do it, it's perfect.
Takes balls, though, but you gotta do it, as the 4x raise is where it is at. He argued that Q-6 is almost the same as Q-8, - and lowering to Q-6 accounts for dropping the J-10 4x bet anyway, and is essentially the same, statiscally.

Ultimate texas holdem odds calculator
I don't know that I'd say that it 'accounts for' it. These errors compound; they don't cancel out (ie, raising hands that you shouldn't costs money, just like not raising hands that you should costs money)
I agree that this is a WAY better strategy than most players follow. You are only misplaying a few hands (raising Q6o, Q7o, K2o, K3o, K4o, 22, and not raising JT, J9s, J8s). Having said that, the correct strategy is pretty simple to learn, too.
It doesn't matter. Anyone who cares to play well will learn the correct strategy and play properly. It's not hard, and you can always just get a strategy card. Most people don't understand math, and just don't want to risk the big bet on a hand that wins barely more than 50% of the time. They think that they are being smart by betting conservatively. They don't understand how much money they are giving away by playing this way, and they never will. They win the hand anyway, so they get positive reinforcement for their terrible play.
FWIW, this is a good thing. UTH is a slow game. The HE is too low for a game that has that few hands per hour. I suspect that most players give up a 10% edge, or more. If everyone started playing properly, and so the house profits dropped by 80%, I suspect that the game would get removed from most casinos. Plus, they would stop comping it so well :)
Paigowdan


If you would PLAY a three card Poker hand with Q-6 or better, then you would also Raise it 4x on UTH with the same hand! Just do it, it's perfect.
I don't know that I'd say that it 'accounts for' it. These errors compound; they don't cancel out (ie, raising hands that you shouldn't costs money, just like not raising hands that you should costs money)


Yes, they [the errors] do compound, but it is still very close, extremely close, to the full strategy - which is ALWAYS worth fully learning. I find that learning the 'easy and close' strategy helps lead a person seek the full, correct strategy, when hooking into a new game - IF they have the courage to bet.
Quote: AxiomofChoice

..Most people don't understand math, and just don't want to risk the big bet on a hand that wins barely more than 50% of the time....
FWIW, this is a good thing. UTH is a slow game. The HE is too low for a game that has that few hands per hour. I suspect that most players give up a 10% edge, or more.


Yes, I think they give up a HUGE percentage, - moreso than 'hitting or not hitting 16 vs. 7' in blackjack by comparison, as giving up the 4x raise is huge. But It does take courage to chunk 4x on K-3 suited, but the real problem with so many UTH players is that they 'trust their gut more than they trust the math.'
I think it is far more a 'gambler's gut and courage' issue, than an 'understanding the math issue,' - or obeying the best strategy dictates. A gambler's nerves may rule him in the end, and in many situations. The nature of the game can make any lesser gambler hesitate and fail.
NO other game has this problem to this extent. Here, in UTH, having 'the heart,' or having the Gambling Cojones to actually TRUST the strategy is so VERY hard to do; you're betting a quarter on the ANTE and the Blind, and you get K-10 offsuit. 90% of the UTH players will say, 'Aw, sh]t, now I gotta bet $100 by best strategy? I can't DO it!! CHECK!' I've seen CRM whip it out 4x on the PLAY bet without batting an eye at any level, and I do so, too - (and with my wife yelling at me, 'Jesus, Dan, R U F-ing crazy??') The fact of the matter is that I'd be crazy NOT to, but so FEW see it, - that the ballsy play is actually the brainy play in this case; they coincide.
And you are right - with UTH having a 0.53% house edge (when accouting for the element of risk, with RARE proper play!) UTH would be unsupportable. But I can tell you this, - and I believe it now - no WAY will the vast majority of players put their cash and cojones on the line as needed - when real push comes to shove. The mistakes in UTH are NOT like minor cover play mistakes in Blackjack, a fraction of a fraction of a percent. A mistake at the 'Raise Four Times on the hole cards alone' level in costs a LOT in percentage, but costs even more in terms of player courage, and so it will not be done. I don't know HOW many times I've seen a UTH player quietly utter, 'I just can do it....' - and Check.
When you add in strategy complexity after the flop, it now becomes a matter of brains - and after the potential 4x raise was a matter of balls, so to speak. Between the two, UTH operates as a 3%+ House edge game because of these factors.Ultimate texas holdem odds calculator
Got to hand it to Roger (Pacman) on this one. just brilliant. Roger Snow understands more than just the casino math of his games. He also fully understands the casino player.
Beware of all enterprises that require new clothes - Henry David Thoreau. Like Dealers' uniforms - Dan.
Ibeatyouraces
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Paigowdan
Matter over both mind and math.
Beware of all enterprises that require new clothes - Henry David Thoreau. Like Dealers' uniforms - Dan.
snorkleboy13
What would the optimum Trips bet for UTH be and how would you calculate it? For example, if you play $25 ante / $25 blind and you want to include the trips bets, should you bet $25 or a different amount to account for different probabilities?
Thanks!!
Ibeatyouraces
The optimal bet is $0.00. But if your going to play it, I say table minimum.
beachbumbabs
Administrator

The optimal bet is $0.00. But if your going to play it, I say table minimum.


I sort of agree. The trips bet is a lot of fun, so to me that has value. I try to help pay for it by keeping to table minimum, and playing at least 2x that amount on the ante. I'd prefer to play 3x, but my br won't support that at the moment, with properly aggressive betting averaging about $65/hand, not including the $5 trips. But unless you're running bonus hot, it's a steady drain on your funds, and most of your overall win usually comes from the main game.
A better strategy is probably to be extremely aggressive with the finer points of 4x, 2x, and kicker bets with those same dollars. Plenty of adrenaline rush in a 50.1% 4-bet.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
snorkleboy13
I feel good about my grasp of the strategy. I never hesitate to go 4X as long as it meets the strategy guidelines. I also follow 2X and 1X as well.
Perhaps it would be better to position my question more along the lines of bankroll management. Yes, I could avoid trips completely, but call me crazy, call me a wildman, call me the casino's best friend, but I like having the additional chance with each hand. So I started to think of it in terms of the question I asked - Is there a sweet spot bet that will give me an acceptable return when I hit, but also an acceptable loss when I don't. I'm not a big player, so I've been playing 25A / 25B / 10T as an example. So it takes 5 hands for the trips bet to equal 2 antes / blinds.
I'm not proficient in all of the calculations of odds, probabilities, risk of ruin etc. but common sense tells me that risk of ruin would go down, but to what degree.
One other thing, I think the bankroll size be 20X the combined ante/blind (no trips). Thoughts on that?
Please feel free to math the hell out of this and help me learn the calcs. And thank you.
Ibeatyouraces
What pay table does the casino you play at use for the trips bet?
snorkleboy13

What pay table does the casino you play at use for the trips bet?


Most are 50-40-30-8-7-4-3beachbumbabs
Administrator
Thanks for this post from:

Most are 50-40-30-8-7-4-3


I'm seeing a lot of 6-5 lately (the rest the same). I like the one above better, though.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.

Ultimate Texas Hold'em Wizard Of Odds

Hunterhill

I'm seeing a lot of 6-5 lately (the rest the same). I like the one above better, though.


The 6 5 is a better pay table than the 7 4.

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All else being equal.
The mountain is tall but grass grows on top of the mountain.
Ibeatyouraces
Toledo has the lousy 6%+ pay table.
beachbumbabs
Administrator

The 6 5 is a better pay table than the 7 4.
All else being equal.


I think it's how I'm running. I get a lot of flushes lately. But the extra 5 on straights is nice on the other one, too.
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.